Day 031 - 05 Oct 94 - Page 19


     
     1   MS. STEEL:   What would you say to respond to the suggestion
     2        that there was no compelling evidence that cancer was
     3        either caused or promoted by aspects of diet?
     4        A.  That statement is clearly wrong.  The experimental
     5        evidence is quite firm on the promotory effects of cancer,
     6        particularly total fat, and also on the protective effects
     7        of n-3 fatty acids.
     8
     9        I think I would argue that the epidemiological evidence,
    10        and the parallels which we see with heart disease, provide
    11        a compelling body of evidence that the diet, that the
    12        modern western diet, as we perceive it, is, I think you
    13        could use the word "causative" of the promotion of
    14        cancer.  It does not cause the cancer; I do not think we
    15        could say it causes the cancer.  But once the cancer is
    16        established, and you have the genetic susceptibility to it
    17        in place, then I think the diet that you eat matters a
    18        very great deal.
    19
    20        I think that is the conclusion that most of the expert
    21        bodies have derived in so far as they are consistently
    22        recommending, in the interests of relieving the burden of
    23        cancer, they are consistently recommending a reduction in
    24        total fat, and the Scottish one (which is the most recent
    25        one) adds a reduction in particularly saturated fats.
    26        They make other recommendations as far as diet is
    27        concerned which are complimentary to this particular
    28        dietary recommendation.
    29
    30        So, I think it would not just be me who says the evidence
    31        is compelling.  I think these expert bodies who are making
    32        recommendations to the public and in general to government
    33        that it would be prudent and wise to reduce the total
    34        amount of fat, particularly saturated fats.  I think that
    35        illustrates their conviction that the evidence is
    36        sufficiently compelling to make those recommendations to
    37        the public.
    38
    39   Q.   Is that why on page 4 where you are talking about a test
    40        to see if you could establish, if the incidence of heart
    41        disease and cancer was greater in a group fed a high fat
    42        diet for 20 years -- you have just gone into the reason
    43        why you say that on the basis of present evidence it is
    44        highly improbable that any ethical committee would allow
    45        such a trial?
    46        A.  Yes, I am not sure that I would ----.
    47
    48   Q.   I might be wording this wrongly.  I am sorry.
    49        A. - I would include that statement again if I rewrote
    50        this document, but it was an attempt to try to highlight 
    51        the balance of evidence, that if you presented the case to 
    52        an ethical committee, as we all have to do before we 
    53        conduct a clinical trial, if you presented a case for a
    54        study in which you were going to propose that a number of
    55        children were fed the highest level of fat as we have it
    56        today, particularly the highest level of saturated fat for
    57        a period of 20 years compared with a "prudent diet", I do
    58        not think that study would get through an ethical
    59        committee.  That is actually an opinion which -- I do not
    60        know how much weight you put on it, but it is my opinion.

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